matsdis

I agree we don’t know what exactly would happen if UBI was implemented globally, and what the large-scale effects would be. But saying “there is no evidence” goes too far. There have been UBI experiments, both intentional and by accident.

We generally know how people react in different contexts to different variants of a low to moderate UBI, what the health and work outcomes are, etc. Sure, a “full” UBI would be different. But it would be silly to expect people to react in a completely different way from what we have already seen, at least for a low UBI.

If you need a reminder about past experiments, listen to Scott Santens (youtube, 10min, from 2020). He is obviously very biased (UBI advocate) but he knows all the nuances about past UBI experiments.

In Switzerland, 77% of the population voted against. Granted, the 1% may have influenced the voters by spending money on campaigns, or even by creating a narrative over decades. And maybe that proposal was too ambitious. But in the end, it was not just the 1% who voted against but 77%. There is still a lot of skepticism against UBI, despite all the positive evidence.